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Dr. David Perrodin


This week on The Malliard Report, Jim welcomes the Safety Doc, Dr. David Perrodin to the show to discuss one of the major events that happened just recently (depending on when you are listening to this episode), the Mandela and butterfly effects, how easily people can be persuaded to believe certain things, and how effective his podcast featuring Jim might have been at changing the narrative to a major news story.
January 13, 2018, at 8:07 a.m. local time residents of Hawaii received an official emergency alert that stated “Ballistic missile threat impound to Hawaii. Seek immediate shelter. This is not a drill.” For 38 long minutes, residents, confused and terrified, sought out shelter, called and texted loved ones, and wondered what was next. After what must have felt like an eternity, word eventually got around that this was a false alert. As the news continues on alongside an ongoing investigation to what exactly transpired that day, we are left with more questions than answers, the feeling that something is being hidden from us (go figure), and that again we are not getting the full story. We may never know what exactly happened, but here are a few ideas:
The threat was real, and the missile was shot down: The amount of time it takes an ICBM to travel from Southeast Asia to Hawaii is approximately 20-30 min (~10 min to hit ICBM max speed of 7 km/s, ~7200 km, (7200/7)/ (60) = ~17 min for total travel time of ~27 min, not accounting for earth’s rotation in that time period). The amount of time it took for the false alarm to be sent out was 38 min. he way the US’s ABM system works is that they basically launch a giant chunk of metal at the ICBM and hit it really hard. The ABMs have no ordinance or anything, they just destroy the incoming missile through shear impact. However, even though our ABM system is the best in the world, it’s still only successful around 50% of the time. So when the incoming threat was discovered, it would still be protocol to alert the intended target of the threat in the event that the ABM systems fail. This is a plausible theory however one argument that could refute this is “why would the US not tell us they shot down an enemy ICBM”? Most likely reason is that the President does not want war. While the President may put on an air of bravado he may realize that it is not beneficial to declare a war where no casualties were involved. When one of these missiles goes off the US pretty much immediately knows where it’s going and where it came from. So if there was a real threat, the US Government is for whatever reason not sharing this information with the public. Maybe they don’t want to cause panic.
Another possibility as to what happened is that the event was staged. This theory is one that seems to have gained some of the most traction out of the numerous ideas that have been spread around. In an attempt to distract the main stream media from policies that the President may be trying to pursue a “fake” threat was ordered so to allow the alternative motives would be obscured by the threat. Alternately there is the notion that a fake threat was issued so as to show other world powers that we have an effective early warning system and/or to test public response to see how they would respond in the event of a real threat.
The third one to consider (there are many others) is that the system malfunctioned. This happens more often than you would think. The early alert systems are very sensitive. They’re a lot better than they used to be, but they’ve detected false missiles before. There are reports of them being triggered by sunlight reflecting off large pieces of metal. They’re sensitive for a reason. Additionally, the large spike in recent meteor sightings could very well be a factor in the triggering of the false alarm. So possibly in an effort to prevent people panicking over a faulty early warning system, the government blamed a bumbling employee.
One thing that is for certain is that there is a lot of weird “circumstances” involving the incident, and things are not getting any better. David and Jim discuss this in depth and David provides some really good insight to what he believes it may be. To keep up with David you can find him on Twitter @SafetyPhD and remember for all things Malliard head over to or via Twitter @Malliard. Spread the word and the report, and make sure to sign up for the upcoming newsletter!